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RBB Bancorp (RBB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • RBB delivered a clean quarter: EPS $0.59, up 12% QoQ and 51% YoY, driven by NIM expansion to 2.98%, lower credit costs, and a lower effective tax rate; net income rose to $10.1M as NII increased for a fifth straight quarter .
  • Credit normalization accelerated: nonperforming assets fell 11% QoQ to 1.29% of assets, criticized/classified loans declined 31% to $126.2M, and allowance coverage of NPLs rose to 98.7% despite a single resolved construction credit driving $6.9M in charge-offs (largely reserved previously) .
  • Balance sheet momentum: loans HFI +$67.9M QoQ (8.3% annualized) on $187.8M of originations at 6.70% blended yield; deposits +$178M QoQ with mix including $84M wholesale CDs used to retire $50M of FHLB advances; LDR improved to 98.1% .
  • Capital return and guideposts: repurchased $12.5M in Q3 (≈660k shares, ~4% of shares) with ~$4M authorization remaining; quarterly opex guided to $18–$19M; FY25 effective tax rate guided to 26–27% .
  • Estimates context: Q3 EPS beat by ~$0.18 vs S&P consensus ($0.59 vs $0.41*); revenue slightly above consensus ($31.95M* vs $31.72M*). Expect estimate revisions to trend higher on sustained NIM expansion and improved credit metrics .

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin and core income: NIM rose 6 bps to 2.98% (fifth straight quarterly increase) on higher loan yields (loan yield +9 bps QoQ to 6.12%) and slightly lower funding costs; NII rose +$1.9M QoQ to $29.3M .
    • Credit progress: NPA ratio improved to 1.29% (from 1.49%), NPLs down $11.3M QoQ, criticized/classified loans -30.8% QoQ, and past dues fell to 0.20% of loans .
    • Capital return and TBV growth: TBVPS increased to $25.89; buybacks totaled $12.5M and 660k shares (~4%) in Q3, highlighting confidence in intrinsic value .
  • What Went Wrong

    • One-off credit resolution: $6.9M net charge-offs (annualized 0.84%) tied almost entirely to a single construction borrower bankruptcy; though largely reserved, it pressed ACL/loan to 1.36% from 1.58% .
    • Deposit mix remained rate-sensitive: interest-bearing deposits increased $172M QoQ, with wholesale time deposits +$84M used to repay $50M FHLB, reflecting ongoing competition for liquidity and modest liability sensitivity .
    • Noninterest income normalization: fell $5.2M QoQ as Q2 included a $5.2M ERC; underscores a less diversified fee profile near term .

Financial Results

Headline vs Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS (Company diluted)$0.13 $0.52 $0.59
EPS Consensus Mean*$0.38*$0.364*$0.41*
Revenue (S&P actual)*$21.71M*$28.23M*$31.95M*
Revenue Consensus Mean*$28.93M*$29.62M*$31.72M*

Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: S&P “Primary EPS” actuals may differ from company diluted EPS due to normalization (e.g., Q2 ERC); company-reported diluted EPS shown separately .

Core P&L and Margin Trajectory

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Interest Income$26.16M $27.33M $29.28M
Noninterest Income$2.30M $8.48M $3.29M
Provision for Credit Losses$6.75M $2.39M $0.63M
Noninterest Expense$18.52M $20.49M $18.68M
Effective Tax Rate28.2% 27.8% 23.5%
Net Interest Margin2.88% 2.92% 2.98%
Efficiency Ratio65.09% 57.22% 57.36%
ROAA (annualized)0.24% 0.93% 0.97%

Balance Sheet & Credit KPIs

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Loans HFI (period-end)$3.143B $3.235B $3.303B
Deposits (period-end)$3.143B $3.188B $3.366B
Loan/Deposit Ratio98.4% 101.5% 98.1%
NPA / Assets1.61% 1.49% 1.29%
NPL / Loans1.92% 1.76% 1.38%
ALLL / Loans1.65% 1.58% 1.36%
CET1 Ratio17.87% 17.61% 17.28%

Segment/Mix Snapshots

  • Loan mix (Q3 2025): SFR 50.0%, CRE 39.0%, Construction 4.8%, C&I 4.4%, SBA 1.6% .
  • Deposit mix (Q3 2025): Noninterest-bearing 16.4%; savings/NOW/MM 21.4%; retail time ≤$250k 25.9%; time >$250k 28.3%; wholesale 8.0% .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Effective Tax RateFY 2025n/a26%–27% New
Noninterest Expense (quarterly)Q4 2025 onwardn/a$18–$19M per quarter New
Dividend per ShareQuarterly$0.16 (Q2) $0.16 (Q3 payable Nov 12, 2025) Maintained
Capital ReturnAuthorizationn/a~$4M remaining on buyback program Update
Funding/DepositsNear termn/aSpot deposit rate 2.97% at 9/30; competition remains elevated Qualitative

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
NIM trajectoryExpanded to 2.88% (Q1) and 2.92% (Q2) on loan yields and lower deposit costs 2.98%, fifth straight increase; modest liability sensitivity; expect further expansion aided by originations Improving
Deposit beta & fundingCost of funds ticked lower; spot deposit rate 2.95% at 6/30; competition for liquidity remains Spot 2.97% at 9/30; cost of funds -2 bps QoQ; wholesale CDs raised to repay FHLB Stabilizing/slight tailwind
Asset qualityQ1/Q2 provisioning elevated; NPA improved from 2.03% (YE) to 1.61% (Q1) to 1.49% (Q2) NPA 1.29%; NPL -$11.3M QoQ; charge-off on one construction loan largely reserved Improving with residual churn
Loan growth & mixQ1/Q2 net growth 12% annualized each; originations ~6.76% blended yields Q3 originations $188M at 6.70%; SFR/CRE led; building C&I; SBA impacted by gov’t shutdown timing Healthy pipeline; mix shift gradual
Capital actionsQ2: buybacks resumed ($1.5M); TBVPS rising Q3: $12.5M repurchases; 660k shares (~4%); ~$4M authorization left More assertive
Tax rateQ1: 28.2%; Q2: 27.8% actual CA SB132 reduced ETR to 23.5% in Q3; FY25 26–27% guide Structural tailwind

Management Commentary

  • “Third quarter net income increased to $10.1 million, or $0.59 per share, and was driven by core earnings growth and lower credit costs.” — Johnny Lee, President & CEO .
  • “Our net interest margin continued to expand…reaching 2.98%…we increased overall loan yield and achieved a two basis point decline in funding costs. Our spot rate on deposits…was 2.97%.” — CFO Lynn Hopkins .
  • “Non-performing loans decreased $11.3 million…due mostly to a $6.9 million charge-off and $5 million in upgraded loans…Special mention loans decreased 46% to $49 million.” — CFO Lynn Hopkins .
  • “Pipeline is still relatively healthy…majority still SFR/CRE…building C&I; SBA funding impacted by the government shutdown.” — CEO Johnny Lee .
  • “We have about $4 million left on the current [buyback] program.” — CFO Lynn Hopkins .

Q&A Highlights

  • Deposit beta and NIM sensitivity: liability-sensitive but modest; further NIM expansion expected as earning-asset yields from originations outpace funding-cost relief amid competition; September NIM close to quarterly average .
  • Loan mix shift: pipeline healthy; SFR/CRE remain majority near term while C&I opportunities build; SBA timing affected by government shutdown .
  • Capital return: ~$4M buyback capacity remains; management balancing potential 2026 sub-debt refinancing and ongoing investment/technology needs .
  • Funding actions: $50M FHLB matured at 3.40% on last day of quarter; replaced with brokered near 4% .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025: EPS $0.59 vs $0.41 consensus (beat by ~$0.18); revenue $31.95M* vs $31.72M* (slight beat). Drivers: higher NII on NIM expansion and loan growth, lower provision, and lower ETR (CA SB132) .
  • Trend: Q2 “Primary EPS” in S&P appears normalized (0.3622*) versus company diluted EPS of $0.52 due to Q2 ERC; revenue also normalized. Expect models to lift margin/NII assumptions and dial back credit costs given faster NPA/NPL improvement .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core earnings momentum: five consecutive quarters of NII and NIM improvement with asset yield tailwinds and stable-to-lower funding costs; expect modest further NIM expansion near term .
  • Credit normalization progressing faster than expected: broad-based improvement across NPA/NPL/criticized, with one large, previously reserved construction charge-off clearing risk; ACL adequacy remains solid at 1.36% of loans and ~99% of NPLs .
  • Balance sheet capacity restored: deposits outpaced loans, lowering LDR to 98.1% and providing funding flexibility; watch wholesale CD usage as rates drift lower .
  • Operating leverage line-of-sight: opex guided to $18–$19M/quarter and efficiency ratio near 57% creates earnings torque if NIM and loan growth continue .
  • Tax rate tailwind: CA apportionment change reduces ETR (Q3 23.5%; FY25 guide 26–27%), a measurable EPS lift vs prior quarters .
  • Capital returns supportive: aggressive buybacks (4% share count in Q3) and stable dividend ($0.16) suggest confidence; ~$4M buyback capacity remains .
  • Watch items: deposit competition and betas, pace of C&I mix shift, SBA funding cadence, and any residual classified loan churn; none currently derail the improving trajectory .

Appendix: Additional Q3 Details

  • Originations: $187.8M at 6.70% blended yield; average loans 83.3% of earning assets .
  • Deposit spot rate: 2.97% at quarter end; cost of funds 3.12% (-2 bps QoQ) .
  • Dividend: $0.16 per share, payable Nov 12, 2025 (record Oct 31, 2025) .
  • Book value/TBVPS: $30.18 / $25.89; TCE/TA 10.67% .